Risk of a decline in or loss of profitability of electricity generation operations resulting from the consolidation of a strong upward trend on the EUA market, with simultaneous disproportionate increases in electricity prices
Perspective: short, medium and long term
|
High price of CO₂ emission allowances potentially resulting in a low or negative value of the clean dark spread (CDS)
|
Greater share of biomass co-firing.
Substitution of coal with low-emission fuels.
|
Risk of interruption in the continuity of operations, loss of revenues and significant costs as a result of extreme weather phenomena
Perspective: short, medium and long term
|
Increased frequency of extreme weather phenomena (droughts, floods affecting the water level on the Vistula River, heavy snowfalls, frosts, icing, hurricanes)
|
Vistula River water level monitoring system.
Annual assessment of the technical condition of power plant facilities.
Continuous supervision of staff over the operation of the power plant.
Flood protection system in the event of an increase in the water level on the Vistula River (stoplogs).
Ongoing supervision of devices and optimal overhaul management.
|
Risk of construction disasters in hydro power plants (damage to hydro-engineering equipment as a result of erosion and water pressure)
Perspective: medium to long term
|
Partial or complete damage to hydro-engineering equipment affected by torrential rains increasing the adverse impact of water on hydrotechnical facilities
|
Continuous execution and preparation of new overhaul and investment projects on hydro-engineering equipment.
|
Risk of construction disasters on wind farms (damage to generation facilities caused by strong winds)
Perspective: medium to long term
|
Extreme weather conditions such as strong winds, hurricanes, tornadoes
|
Inability to take preventive actions against the forces (elements) of nature. |
Risk of lost revenues or extra costs resulting from the uncertainty of the legislative environment
Perspective: medium to long term
|
Amendments to EU or national regulations, for example resulting from the non-recognition of biomass as a zero-emission energy source
|
Monitoring of and participation in legislative work
|
Risk of a decrease in revenues from sales of heat
Perspective: short, medium and long term
|
Temperature rising trends during the heating season causing demand for heat to decline
|
Diversification of revenue sources through the development of cogeneration.
|
Risk of an increase in environmental fees
Perspective: short term
|
Absence of environmental decisions required by law or failure to fulfill the conditions specified therein
|
Ongoing monitoring of regulations.
Ongoing monitoring of the validity of decisions held, thereby enabling an early preparation of requests for changes.
Ongoing supervision over the manner of implementation and compliance with the conditions specified in the decisions held.
|
Risk of suspension of electricity/heat generation as a result of technological misalignment with the requirements of environmental protection regulations
Perspective: short term
|
Need to adapt generation units to the requirements of the IED and future BAT conclusions, the Water Law, etc.
|
Regular upgrades of and investments in:
-
units for generation of energy from renewable sources
-
heat accumulation systems,
-
flue gas heat recovery units,
- flue gas desulphurization units,
-
boilers.
.
Upgrade of transmission infrastructure and heating nodes, gradual extension of the extent of application of telemetric systems.
Use of proper cooling systems in electricity and heat generation.
Taking care of the proper technical condition of equipment using fluorinated gases.
|
Risk of interruption or curtailment of business continuity and loss of revenues resulting from failure to maintain continuity of fuel supplies
Perspective: short, medium and long term
|
Unavailability or limited availability of biomass resulting from natural disasters such as hurricanes, floods, droughts or freezes
Unavailability or limited availability of coal resulting from natural disasters in the mining sector or in the supply process
|
Optimization of fuel supplies.
Diversification of the fuel portfolio.
Emergency fuel purchases.
Gradual shift of all or part of the fuel shipment process to the supplier.
Performance monitoring with deviation analysis and update of plans for the performance of contracts for the supply of generation fuels and logistics services.
|
Risk of an increase in the costs of procurement of plant-based substrates necessary for biogas production
Perspective: medium term
|
Hydrological drought potentially affecting the availability and prices of corn silage, which is the key input substrate in biogas production
|
Adoption of and early preparation for a comprehensive substrate procurement action.
|
Risk of an increase in the cost of raising capital and/or property insurance
Perspective: short, medium and long term
|
Global climate crisis making it increasingly difficult for fossil fuel-based businesses to access finance, insurance undertakings treating coal-based power generation as a higher-risk industry
|
Use of the Group’s transformation strategy in consultations with the reinsurance market.
Search for new methods of securing assets.
|
Risk of reducing or ceasing the operation of power plants due to difficulties in obtaining or maintaining valid environmental decisions and permits.
Perspective: short, medium and long term
|
Activities of environmental organizations conducting aggressive campaigns against power plants by:
-
appealing against and demanding the cancellation of integrated permits or environmental decisions held by power plants,
-
referring to the public interest and joining proceedings aimed at amending integrated permits, thereby delaying or preventing the issue of favorable decisions
|
Cooperation with leading law firms.
Cooperation with environmental organizations.
|